Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Decoding Super Tuesday


Yesterday (March 6) was Super Tuesday; the day 416 delegates across ten states are decided in the Republican primary elections, the largest number of states on any one day in the primary season. The ten states that voted on Super Tuesday were Alaska (24 delegates), Georgia (76), Idaho (32), Massachusetts (38), North Dakota (25), Ohio (63), Oklahoma (40), Tennessee (55), Vermont (17), and Virginia (46). The results of Super Tuesday go along way in deciding the nomination of the parties. A good showing can be enough to propel a candidate to victory, and a poor showing can spell the end of a candidate’s campaign.

My goal here is to interpret the results of yesterday’s elections into layman’s terms.

Overall, Mitt Romney won six states and, Rick Santorum won three, Newt Gingrich won one, and Ron Paul did not win any states. The overall delegate count is now Romney with 415, Santorum with 176, Gingrich with 105, and Paul with 47. John Huntsman has two delegates, but has withdrawn his bid for the Republican nomination. A comprehensive, up-to-date chart of the primary race can be found here.

So after all these numbers are digested, what is really going on here?

According to the Associated Press (AP), conclusions can be drawn that Republican’s are not in love with any one candidate. They AP also notes that Gingrich is very much alive in the race, rich people favor Romney, southerners do not like Romney, Ohio is going to be hotly contested, and Paul is no longer a viable candidate.

Some even believe that President Barack Obama was the big winner of Super Tuesday.

A lot can be made of the results from Super Tuesday, but the reality is that there are still 1541 delegates up for grab and no candidate is that close to the 1144 delegates needed to win the nomination.

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